Vanda Felbab-Brown, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a specialist in drug trafficking groups, called the arrest significant, but said it was not clear what effect it would have on violence and drug trafficking in Colombia.

“Is it going to end the drug trade from Colombia? Definitely not,” Dr. Felbab-Brown said in an interview. She also warned that the capture could set off infighting between rival factions within the Clan del Golfo, leading to more violence.

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